Drag sliders, see futures shift live
GDP, population, energy, automation, fragmentation — all live.
Drag sliders, see which futures the assumptions actually produce. The point is not prediction — it's intuition.
Future Simulator is an interactive sandbox over a small set of macro variables: AGI capability growth rate, energy cost trajectory, demographic decline, automation deployment speed, geopolitical fragmentation. Pick values; the simulator runs forward 30 years and shows you what those values produce — not as a single prediction, but as a Monte Carlo distribution over plausible outcomes.
The model is deliberately simple. It is wrong about the specifics in the way every macro model is wrong about specifics. What it gets right is the directional logic: here is what the world looks like if these are your assumptions. Change the assumptions; watch the world change. The simulator's value is in giving you intuition for which assumptions are doing the work.
Note: this simulation is deterministic — same sliders always produce the same output. The point is intuition, not prediction.
GDP, population, energy, automation, fragmentation — all live.
Send your assumptions to a colleague — argue from the same numbers.
Tornado chart showing per-variable impact on outcomes.
Coupled ODEs over population, productivity, energy, capability growth.
1,000 parameter samples per slider configuration; distributions over outcomes.
Pre-built scenario templates: 'fast AGI', 'energy cheap', 'demographic collapse'.
For each variable: what it represents, what we know, what's contested.
Side-by-side overlay of two scenarios.